This market resolves based on Statistics Canada's official Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-over-year inflation rate, as published in Table 18-10-0004-01.
Resolves No if the CPI year-over-year inflation rate for any month from now through July 2026 is reported at or above 3.0%.
Resolves Yes if the CPI year-over-year inflation rate for every month through the July 2026 release remains below 3.0%.
The market settles based on the official StatCan data table release, not preliminary estimates or media reporting.
If StatCan changes its CPI methodology or reporting schedule in a way that prevents a clear reading, this market resolves 50/50.